otavio costa

As the U.S. dollar has slumped to its lowest level in over two years, emerging market stocks rallied in near-perfect inverse fashion—a trend that may be just at its early stages. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE:EEM), which holds more than 800 EM stocks, posted its ninth consecutive...

A silver “supercycle” may already be underway, as the structural market tightness and resurgent investor interest in the grey metal set the stage for a potential breakout above the all-time high of $50 per ounce last reached in 2011, according to Otavio Costa, macro strategist at hedge...

As the market recovers from April lows, the heavyweights are back in action after a brief respite, with the Magnificent 7 stocks leading nearly 55% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization recovery. What Happened: “The Magnificent 7 alone have accounted for nearly 55% of the total...

As the U.S. Dollar Index tumbles nearly 8.5% in 2025, it’s on track for the worst performance in over 30 years. This could have “profound implications” across asset classes and global markets, says analyst. What Happened: The X post shared by Otavio Costa, the macro strategist at...

Despite the falling gold prices after the stock market rebound, the gold mining companies are poised for growth as this expert highlights “record levels of free cash flow” for these companies over the next two years. What Happened: The Macro Strategist at Crescat Capital, Otavio Costa,...

As the U.S. dollar witnessed its largest two-day decline in over two years, an economist argues the importance of devaluation for global growth while another expert explains the weakness to as a symptom and not a cause. What Happened: The macro strategist at Crescat Capital, Otavio Costa...

Investor sentiment is highly disconnected over tariffs as equities and forex markets are showing significant divergence in response to the announcements. This comes amid President Donald Trump's take on yen and yuan's devaluation. What Happened: According to the senior fellow at the Brookings...

A prolonged period of unusually low junk bond spreads could be setting the stage for a dramatic market reversal, according to this economist, who sees eerie similarities to the pre-crisis conditions of May 2007. What Happened: The credit spreads of high-yield or junk corporate bonds have remained...

Yields on longer-dated U.S. 30-year Treasury bonds have breached the 4.50% threshold, a significant level last witnessed on July 25, raising alarms across global financial markets. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has also seen a notable increase of 63 basis points, climbing to 4.25% since the...