Recession

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index fell 0.1% month-over-month in May, marking its sixth consecutive monthly decline and signaling intensifying recession risks for the U.S. economy. What Happened: The index has declined in 37 of the last 39 months, representing one of the worst streaks on...

U.S. recession odds slipped further on Polymarket as a slew of bullish events lifted investor sentiment Wednesday. What happened: Odds in favor of the betting contract titled “US recession in 2025?” were 23% as of this writing, a considerable drop from the all-time high of 66% recorded...

The odds of the U.S. entering a recession in 2025 have plummeted sharply on prediction platforms, aided by a de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade conflict. What happened: Wagers in favor of a contract titled "US recession in 2025?" dropped from a peak of 66% in early April to 39% currently on...

JPMorgan Chase‘s chief global strategist suggests that the US economy, while likely to dodge a recession, should brace for slower growth. What Happened: David Kelly, the chief global strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM), anticipates a deceleration in the US economy...

Editor’s Note: This article has been updated to reflect the correct 2-year Treasury bond yield of 3.95%. U.S. stock futures advanced on Friday after a mixed close on Thursday. Futures of major benchmark indices were trading higher in premarket. The S&P 500 index recorded its fourth day of...

U.S. stock futures were lower on Thursday after mostly closing higher on Wednesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were trading lower in premarket. Wednesday saw a positive momentum in tech stocks led by Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) following the deals with Saudi Arabia, strong earnings from...

Editor’s Note: This story has been updated to include the latest data. U.S. stock futures reversed early losses to trade in the green during Wednesday's premarket session, following a mixed finish on Tuesday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices turned positive for the year after Tuesday...

Prominent financial analyst Gordon Johnson has ignited discussion on social media, suggesting that a potential “Liberation Day 2.0” – an event triggering a significant equity market downturn – could be imminent. What Happened: The CEO and Founder at GLJ Research, LLC, Johnson’s...

Jim Cramer believes that a consistent flow of trade agreements is crucial to bolstering market confidence and allaying fears of both recession and a surge in inflation. What Happened: In a recent post on X, Cramer asserted that a “steady drip of trade deals” might be the key ingredient...

U.S. stock futures fell on Tuesday after a stellar rally on Monday. Futures of major benchmark indices were trading lower in premarket. Tech, consumer discretionary, and communication services led Monday’s rally as stocks surged on the tariff truce with China. President Donald Trump signed...

Renowned independent investment strategist Ed Yardeni, the President of Yardeni Research, has lowered his U.S. recession probability while raising his S&P 500 target following the trade deal with China. What Happened: After the U.S. and China announced a 90-day truce on Monday, the markets...

Google searches for the phrase "Are we in a recession" have soared to their second-highest level in recorded history, reflecting deepening public anxiety about the U.S. economy. The trend, highlighted in a recent post on X by Barchart, signals growing concern among Americans, even as official...

U.S. stock futures fluctuated between gains and losses on Friday, following a three-day winning streak. Major benchmark index futures were mixed in premarket trading. The U.S. and U.K. sealed a bilateral trade deal, cutting tariffs, boosting industrial ties, and securing billions in new market...

U.S. stock futures rose on Wednesday after two days of decline on Tuesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were higher in premarket. The upmove comes after the U.S. and China agreed to hold high-level trade talks in Switzerland this weekend, their first major meeting since President Donald Trump...

In a bold departure from prevailing economic forecasts, Cathie Wood, the CEO and CIO of ARK Investment Management, has asserted that the prolonged “rolling recession,” that has gripped the U.S. economy for the past three years is nearing an end, paving way for a productivity-led...