Recession

China and the U.S. appear ready to hit pause on tit-for-tat tariffs to pursue a potential trade agreement, inspiring Wall Street veteran investor Ed Yardeni to dial back recession odds. What Happened: Signs emerge that Washington, D.C. and Beijing may finally be willing to ease trade tensions that...

Billionaire investor and Shark Tank fame, Mark Cuban, questioned President Donald Trump’s focus on small businesses amid the tariff and the recession backdrop, asking if only the “big industries” mattered. What Happened: President Trump, while speaking to a reporter from NBC News...

After the S&P 500 notched a nine-day winning streak on Friday, it sparked a debate among market experts. While some believe that it could be a precursor to a recession, others vehemently disagree, citing historical data to support their arguments. What Happened: The Founder and President of...

On Wednesday, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) says its focus on cloud services and customer-centric solutions could help the company not just survive a recession, but grow through it. What Happened: During Microsoft's third-quarter earnings call, CEO Satya Nadella addressed a question about how...

Wall Street is set for a volatile Wednesday after first-quarter GDP data showed an unexpected economic contraction, stoking fears that a recession may already be underway. The U.S. economy shrank by 0.3% on an annualized basis last quarter, down from 2.4% growth in the previous quarter and well...

Wall Street betting markets are on fire just hours before the first-quarter GDP release, with odds of a negative U.S. growth print soaring after months of trade war escalation and a record-breaking goods deficit. According to Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, the probability of a...

Jim Cramer believes excessive pessimism may be clouding Wall Street’s outlook, arguing that strong employment trends could prevent an economic downturn despite tariff concerns. What Happened: “Will the tariffs hurt? Yes. Will prices go higher? Yes. Could there be shortages? Absolutely...

China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the country's top economic planning agency, is downplaying the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs and projecting strong growth despite mounting macroeconomic headwinds. What Happened: On Monday, Zhao Chenxin, Vice Head of the NDRC,...

The S&P 500 Index tracked by SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) could plunge as low as 3,700 points even in a “mild recession” scenario, representing a potential 37% decline from its January levels, according to Wolfe Research. What Happened: Chris Senyek, the firm’s Chief...

This ace institutional investor — a former head of research at Nomura and Bridgewater Associates and served as a managing director at Goldman Sachs — says he has “never before observed” the trio of falling equities, rising long-term Treasury yields, and declining short-term yields. What...

Consumers are increasingly turning to comfort foods, with frozen pizza sales experiencing a significant surge, a trend some experts view as a potential indicator of shifting consumer behavior amid growing economic uncertainty. What Happened: Consumers are reaching for more frozen pizza,...

Noted investment adviser Gary Black drew attention Sunday to the rising odds of a recession in 2025 due to President Donald Trump’s tariff measures. What Happened: Black, managing partner at The Future Fund, highlighted the increasing likelihood of the U.S. slipping into...

Stock market expert Jon Erlichman recently shared a review of stock returns during the last six U.S. recessions, highlighting those that have performed well in difficult times. In a video post and also on X, Erlichman shared his analysis of stock returns during the past six recessions in the U.S...

The International Monetary Fund, or IMF, has expressed concern over escalating trade tensions sparked by new U.S. tariffs but emphasized that a global recession is not on the horizon. The organization acknowledged a sharp rise in economic uncertainty, particularly in relation to trade policy, yet...