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Elon Musk: 'Digging My Own Grave' by Tying Himself to DOGE
Saturday, April 12, 2025 - 2:50pm | 431The popularity of Elon Musk has seen a significant downturn, as per a new tracker initiated by polling data analyst Nate Silver. What Happened: The tracker, which was launched on Friday, indicates that a mere 39.6% of Americans hold a favorable view of Musk, while a majority of 53.5% view...
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Nate Silver Says Biden Should Resign, Have Harris Take Over Presidency: 'It's A Very Difficult Job'
Thursday, November 21, 2024 - 7:03pm | 516Best known for providing election polls and analysis, Nate Silver has a new prediction, or rather a suggestion that Vice President Kamala Harris should become president, despite losing the 2024 presidential election. What Happened: Silver doesn't think that Harris should be declared the winner of...
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Nate Silver's Closest Call Yet: How 2024's Election Stands Apart From His Predictions In 2016 And 2020
Tuesday, November 5, 2024 - 1:40pm | 484Well-known statistician Nate Silver, known for his close-call forecasts, has delivered his final prediction for the 2024 U.S. presidential race: Kamala Harris holds an ultra-narrow lead over Donald Trump in a scenario that resembles a coin toss. What Happened: According to Silver's 80,000...
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Polymarket's All-Time Leading Trader Bets Over $500,000 On Kamala Harris, Slams Nate Silver For Including 'Fake Poll' Data In Model
Monday, November 4, 2024 - 11:26am | 466Professional politics trader ‘Domer’ on Sunday announced that he is accumulating a position on Vice President Kamala Harris to win the election. What Happened: Domer’s investment thesis, which led him betting over $500,000 on Kamala Harris to win the presidency, the popular vote...
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Nate Silver Says Kamala Harris 'May Need Backup Plans' If The 'Blue Wall' Is Split But Sees The Race As 'A Near Coin Flip'
Friday, November 1, 2024 - 10:30am | 715American statistician and writer Nate Silver on Friday described the 2024 U.S. presidential race is described as "a near coin flip," with Donald Trump narrowly leading Kamala Harris. What Happened: As of Oct. 31, Silver's forecast gives Trump a slight edge with a 53.4% chance of winning, compared...
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2024 Election Odds On Polymarket, Kalshi Show Trump Will Win: Why They Might Be Wrong
Wednesday, October 30, 2024 - 3:39pm | 828As the 2024 presidential election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump draws nearer, observers are looking for any clue to the ultimate winner. While polls have traditionally been the method of choice to forecast elections, polling misses in the 2016 and 2020...
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Presidential Race Predictions, Investment Warnings, And Billion-Dollar Proposals: This Week In Crypto
Sunday, October 27, 2024 - 8:00am | 592The past week was buzzing with a flurry of news from the world of finance and cryptocurrency. From bold predictions about the presidential race and the future of digital assets to investment warnings and intriguing proposals, the stories were as diverse as they were impactful. Here’s a quick...
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Nate Silver's 'Gut' Says Trump Will Win, But Kamala Harris 'Could Beat Her Polls': One Trader Bets Over $3 Million She Does
Wednesday, October 23, 2024 - 4:17pm | 671Former FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver offered two contrasting interpretations of the presidential race, suggesting that both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump could outperform their current poll numbers. What Happened: Silver wrote in an opinion piece in...
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Ark Invest's Brett Winton Explains Why Betting Markets Favor Trump Over Kamala Harris, While Polls Show Otherwise
Tuesday, October 22, 2024 - 8:31am | 590Brett Winton, Chief Futurist at Ark Invest, took to X on Tuesday to explain the difference in numbers between betting markets and poll-based forecasts ahead of the November elections. What Happened: Winton highlighted that prediction markets have often diverged from poll-based approaches, with a...
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Trump Vs. Harris Swing State Battle: Musk Says 'That's Why I'm In Pennsylvania' With Kalshi Prediction Market Results On Display
Thursday, October 17, 2024 - 6:51pm | 1023A close head-to-head battle between Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is expected in polls for the 2024 presidential election. Betting prediction markets paint a different picture with one candidate jumping out to a sizable lead. Here's the latest. What Happened: Prediction markets...
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Nate Silver: Donald Trump's Election Odds Pump Could Be Noise, But Republicans 'Project Confidence' In Trump Era, Democrats 'Project Anxiety'
Tuesday, October 8, 2024 - 10:54am | 462The sudden spike in Donald Trump‘s chances on Polymarket to win the presidential election has prompted speculation beyond the cryptocurrency community, with some suggesting parallels to Elon Musk‘s involvement in Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE). What Happened: Nate Silver, renowned statistician...
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Trump Vs. Harris: Nate Silver Says Florida Isn't A Lost Cause For Vice President Yet, Sees Path To Victory — 'Success Is Unlikely, But The Payoff Is High'
Friday, October 4, 2024 - 9:14am | 592The 2024 presidential race is tilting in favor of the Democrats and veteran pollster Nate Silver weighed in on whether Vice President and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris should invest in the predominantly Republican state of Florida. Cloudy Outlook In Sunshine State? Florida, which was once a...
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Nate Silver's Forecast: Kamala Harris Retakes Lead Over Donald Trump
Saturday, September 21, 2024 - 2:30pm | 578Famed data analyst Nate Silver‘s election forecast shows Kamala Harris with a better chance of winning the presidency than Donald Trump for the first time since August 28. What Happened: According to his Silver Bulletin site, Silver says the race is still up in the air, and the lead could...
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Nate Silver Says 2024 Race Still Tossup Despite Kamala Harris' Post-Debate Bump: 'Our Elections Aren't Determined By...'
Thursday, September 19, 2024 - 5:14am | 673Vice President Kamala Harris is ahead by 2.9 points in veteran pollster Nate Silver’s forecast model, dubbed Silver Bulletin, with the Democratic candidate getting a bounce from the debate held on Sept. 10. Harris’ Lead Swells: The 2.9-point lead Harris now has over her Republican rival...
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Trump Vs. Harris Presidential Debate, Sanders On Healthcare Disparity, And More: This Week In Politics
Sunday, September 15, 2024 - 7:00am | 556As the weekend wraps up, we look back at the major stories that made headlines. From the much-anticipated Trump vs Harris debate to Bernie Sanders’ remarks on healthcare disparity, and Mark Cuban’s praise for Elon Musk’s AI, it’s been a busy few days. Let’s dive into...