Inverted yield curve

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, which is closely monitored as a gauge of the health of the economy, inverted in November, signaling to bond investors that a U.S. recession is imminent. However, Campbell Harvey — the economist who developed the indicator — recently told Bloomberg that the...

The U.S. Treasury Yield Curve remained inverted as the employment situation report for July was reported, announcing 528,000 jobs added to the economy. Although unemployment is back to pre-pandemic lows of 3.5%, an inverted yield curve is a leading indicator that the economy is heading for a...