Polymarket

Pope Francis has died at the age of 88 leaving a vacancy for the position of the global head of the Catholic Church. Here's a look at the betting odds for the next pope and why sports bettors believe one Major League Baseball player will hit a home run Monday. Next Pope Odds: Pope Francis was the...

Noted investment adviser Gary Black drew attention Sunday to the rising odds of a recession in 2025 due to President Donald Trump’s tariff measures. What Happened: Black, managing partner at The Future Fund, highlighted the increasing likelihood of the U.S. slipping into...

U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday lashed out at Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday, calling him "Too Late and Wrong" over the central bank's ongoing reluctance to cut interest rates, just as market forecasts increasingly price in a prolonged Fed pause. What Happened: "The ECB is...

Social media giant Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) could be forced to spinoff or divest Instagram and WhatsApp as the result of a pending trial with the Federal Trade Commission. What Happened: Lina Khan, who stepped down as FTC Chair in January 2025, is speaking out as Meta's antitrust trial begins...

Amid an escalating trade war, cryptocurrency bettors sharply raised the odds that President Donald Trump would impose additional tariffs on a defiant China.  What happened: Bets in favor of the outcome surged past 80% on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket, marking a 58 percentage point...

The odds of the Federal Reserve implementing an emergency rate cut soared dramatically on the prediction platform Polymarket as stocks and cryptocurrencies tumbled over tariff concerns. What Happened: Bets in favor of the contract titled "Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?" rose from 20% to 36% over...

President Donald Trump publicly urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but prediction market data shows that bettors remain skeptical the central bank will act in May. What Happened: According to decentralized forecasting platform Polymarket, 72% of market participants believe the Federal...

Editor’s Note: A typographical error in the headline of this story has been corrected. Cryptocurrency bettors sharply upped the odds of a U.S. recession Thursday following President Donald Trump's worse-than-expected "Liberation Day" tariff rollout. What happened: The odds in favor of the...

Trump Media and Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:DJT) may be venturing into the cryptocurrency business, but Polymarket bettors don't expect the firm to invest in President Donald Trump’s Official Trump (CRYPTO: TRUMP) meme coin to begin with. What happened: The odds in favor of TMTG buying...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Thursday said that the Donald Trump administration remains focused on fostering long-term economic growth rather than reacting to short-term market volatility, despite a recent 10% drop in stocks from their highs. What Happened: Speaking to CNBC on Thursday...

In a significant development impacting the future of prediction market platform Polymarket in the U.S., the firm's CEO, Shayne Coplan, confirmed Thursday that he will attend the hotly anticipated White House Digital Asset Roundtable. What happened: In an X post, Coplan thanked President Donald...

Bettors on the cryptocurrency-based prediction market Polymarket anticipated a higher chance that President Donald Trump will remove tariffs on Canada before the summer, after Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted that relief was possible. What happened: The odds in favor of a betting contract...

The 2025 Academy Awards will be held on Sunday March 2. Here's a look at how to watch the awards ceremony and how movie fans have more ways to bet on the potential winners. How to Watch the 2025 Academy Awards: The 2025 Academy Awards will air on ABC and stream on Hulu live for the first time. Both...

President Donald Trump has launched a sharp critique of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy‘s leadership, claiming the Ukrainian leader “played (former U.S. president Joe) Biden like a fiddle,” prompting increasing speculation on prediction markets about Zelenskyy’s...

The likelihood of the United States adopting Ripple‘s (CRYPTO: XRP) as a national reserve asset in 2025 remains low, according to Polymarket, despite renewed speculation following Donald Trump's recent social media post about XRP. What Happened: Traders assign only a 15 percent chance to the...