Skip to main content

Market Overview

The Investor's Guide To Surviving The Election

Share:
The Investor's Guide To Surviving The Election

Within hours, the world will know if Hillary Clinton will become the first female president of the United States or if Donald Trump will be moving from his Trump Tower penthouse to the White House.

Credit Suisse's public policy team is calling for a Clinton victory, a slight edge to the Republicans for the Senate and the House to remain firmly under Republican control.

Nevertheless, the team of analysts are preparing investors for a wide variety of scenarios, since the outcome of the election is far from guaranteed.

What You Need To Know

Here is a summary of the analysts' conclusions:

  • A Democratic sweep would prove to be a "mildly negative to mildly positive" event for U.S. equities (+/- 4 percent).
  • A Clinton win and a split Republican Congress will be a "neutral to moderately positive" event (0 to +7 percent).
  • A Trump victory would result in a downward move of 5 to 10 percent.
  • Regardless of who wins, if stocks rally post-election, the median S&P 500 next 12 months P/E ratio will be capped at 2016's peak of 18.6x.
  • If stocks fall post-election, the analysts expect the S&P 500 to fall to a multiple of 16.6x, but a deeper move could drop to a 15.5x multiple.
 

Related Articles (SPY + SPX)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!

Posted-In: Credit Suisse Donald Trump Hillary ClintonAnalyst Color Politics Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas General Best of Benzinga

Latest Ratings

StockFirmActionPT
SEDGB of A SecuritiesMaintains411.0
PTLOPiper SandlerMaintains28.0
AOUTLake StreetMaintains26.0
RAPTPiper SandlerMaintains52.0
OCXLake StreetMaintains6.0
View the Latest Analytics Ratings
Don't Miss Any Updates!
News Directly in Your Inbox
Subscribe to:
Benzinga Premarket Activity
Get pre-market outlook, mid-day update and after-market roundup emails in your inbox.
Market in 5 Minutes
Everything you need to know about the market - quick & easy.
Fintech Focus
A daily collection of all things fintech, interesting developments and market updates.
SPAC
Everything you need to know about the latest SPAC news.
Thank You

Thank you for subscribing! If you have any questions feel free to call us at 1-877-440-ZING or email us at vipaccounts@benzinga.com