Why A Microsoft Partnership Changes The View For Himax

With the Windows 10 launch closing in for Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), Chardan Managing Director Jay Srivatsa believes that Hololens availability is soon approaching, possibly alongside Windows 10. In a note published this morning, Srivatsa highlights why Microsoft's virtual reality gaming opportunities is a bright light for Himax Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: HIMX).

With commercial introduction of Hololens slated for Q1 fiscal year 2016, Srivatsa believes Himax Technologies is slated to be the provider of LCoS Microdisplays for Microsoft Hololens. Srivatsa says that the Hololens looks to be a completely differentiated product compared to the Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) Glass and Oculus Rift as the headset recognizes user's gestures and uses augmented reality spatiality maps the world.

As for Himax's role in the Hololens, Srivatsa believes the company will increase production beginning in Q3 and will be in full production by fiscal year 2016, possibly contributing $80 million to $120 million by year end 2016.

Double-Notch Upgrade

Despite downgrading Himax to a Sell in May due to market losses from one of its primary customers Samsung, coupled with a struggling Chinese smartphone market, Srivatsa sees substantial upside in a potential Microsoft partnership. Srivatsa believes that earnings could see meaningful improvement while he projects Microsoft Hololens pricing around the $500 range with 2 to 3 million units sold.

This is reflected in his revised fiscal year 2016 earnings as he upgrades Himax from Sell to Buy while his price target increases from $4/share to $13/share.

His current price target of $13 implies around 60 percent of upside to the current price of $7.77/share as of Tuesday morning pre-market trading.