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7 Key Market Recommendations Societe Generale Just Made

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In a report published March 24, a team of analysts at Societe Generale presented seven key market recommendations to "reduce risk in an expensive world."

'Panic' Reallocation Out of Negative Yields In Europe:

  • Long U.S. government bonds in U.S. Dollars.
  • Long bonds in Italy and Spain.
  • 'More to come' on Euro area equities.
  • Shift European into Asia ex-Japan credit.
  • Short gold.
  • U.S. sovereign curve: short the belly (five-year) and long the wings (two year and 30 year).

The Fed To Exit Zero-Rate Policy:

  • Remain long the U.S. dollar – preferred shorts include the Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen.
  • Short the Russell 2000, initiate long on the S&P 500 index.
  • Long Equity volatility VIX.

Abenomics Largely Priced In:

  • Remain long on the USD/JPY until 127.
  • Tourism growth in Japan: buy "SG Visit Japan" stock basket.
  • Buy the Japan companies with aggressive share buybacks.

Growing Worries Over UK Election:

  • Enter 10s30s flatteners.
  • Short the FTSE/long Euro Stoxx 50.
  • Short the FTSE250/long FTSE100.
  • Long basket- British Pound sensitive stocks/short FTSE.

Upgrades To Eurozone Growth:

  • Long Euro area equities/short U.S. equities.
  • Long Eurozone banks.
  • Long French equities CAC40.
  • Long Polish equities and local currency bonds.

Prefer Asia Over Latin America:

  • Long Indian and Chinese equities.
  • Long Indian local currency bonds.
  • Short Spanish equities/long Euro area equities.

Commodities To Remain A Laggard:

  • Stay short on gold.
  • Position for "steeper" oil curve.
  • Avoid oil-linked assets (i.e Russian Rouble, Canadian Dollar).
  • Long base metals/short precious metals.
 

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Posted-In: british pound CAC40 Canadian dollar euro Euro Stoxx 50 Eurozone BanksAnalyst Color Analyst Ratings

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