7 Key Market Recommendations Societe Generale Just Made
In a report published March 24, a team of analysts at Societe Generale presented seven key market recommendations to "reduce risk in an expensive world."
'Panic' Reallocation Out of Negative Yields In Europe:
- Long U.S. government bonds in U.S. Dollars.
- Long bonds in Italy and Spain.
- 'More to come' on Euro area equities.
- Shift European into Asia ex-Japan credit.
- Short gold.
- U.S. sovereign curve: short the belly (five-year) and long the wings (two year and 30 year).
The Fed To Exit Zero-Rate Policy:
- Remain long the U.S. dollar – preferred shorts include the Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen.
- Short the Russell 2000, initiate long on the S&P 500 index.
- Long Equity volatility VIX.
Abenomics Largely Priced In:
- Remain long on the USD/JPY until 127.
- Tourism growth in Japan: buy "SG Visit Japan" stock basket.
- Buy the Japan companies with aggressive share buybacks.
Growing Worries Over UK Election:
- Enter 10s30s flatteners.
- Short the FTSE/long Euro Stoxx 50.
- Short the FTSE250/long FTSE100.
- Long basket- British Pound sensitive stocks/short FTSE.
Upgrades To Eurozone Growth:
- Long Euro area equities/short U.S. equities.
- Long Eurozone banks.
- Long French equities CAC40.
- Long Polish equities and local currency bonds.
Prefer Asia Over Latin America:
- Long Indian and Chinese equities.
- Long Indian local currency bonds.
- Short Spanish equities/long Euro area equities.
Commodities To Remain A Laggard:
- Stay short on gold.
- Position for "steeper" oil curve.
- Avoid oil-linked assets (i.e Russian Rouble, Canadian Dollar).
- Long base metals/short precious metals.
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Posted-In: british pound CAC40 Canadian dollar euro Euro Stoxx 50 Eurozone BanksAnalyst Color Analyst Ratings