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Starbucks A New Neutral At Credit Suisse

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In a report published Tuesday, Credit Suisse analyst Jason West initiated coverage of Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) at Neutral with a $97 price target, urging investors to be "cautious" following a "remarkable run" in share prices.

According to West, Starbucks continues to execute at a "very high level" and offers a best-in-class growth among restaurant companies and retailers. However, the analyst noted that the recent rise in valuation and some growth headwinds justifies a Neutral stance.

West offered seven reasons why shares of Starbucks may struggle to outperform:

  • Overall expectations may be too high.
  • Margin gains could get tougher as the company makes strategic investments in digital and labor.
  • Starbucks is losing a "sizeable" coffee tailwind this year that may be underappreciated.
  • Same-store sales expectations in the "strong" mid-single-digits have set a high bar.
  • Capital investments continue to rise, weighing on incremental returns.
  • Foreign exchange headwinds may be "underappreciated."
  • Loss of a key management member (Troy Alstead).

Starbucks has already issued 2015 guidance and said it expects to earn $3.09 to $3.13 per share in the fiscal year. West is modeling the company will earn $3.10 per share, $0.03 below consensus estimates and near the low end of the company's guidance.

While the company has established a reputation of exceeding or at the very least meeting the high end of the guidance, West wrote that "this year could be different."

Latest Ratings for SBUX

DateFirmActionFromTo
Feb 2022Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy
Feb 2022MKM PartnersMaintainsBuy
Feb 2022Credit SuisseMaintainsOutperform

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Posted-In: coffee Credit Suisse Jason West restaurantAnalyst Color Price Target Initiation Analyst Ratings

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